Tiebreakers
Posted: Tue Dec 16, 2025 11:16 pm
What if Baltimore wins the rematch and there's a tie for 1st in the North?
The head-to-head would be split, so on to division record. If the Steelers lost to Cleveland and Baltimore, then the ravens would win that tiebreaker with a 4-2 division record vs 3-3 for Pittsburgh. But if the Steelers beat the browns and lose to the Ravens, that leaves both teams at 4-2 in the division.
Then it's common games. I haven't dug into that data yet. Since there are so many common opponents, it's easier to look at the games against uncommon opponents, and whoever did WORSE is the champion. I think each team will have played 3 games against opponents their division rival didn't play. Against the Seahawks, Chargers, and Colts, Pittsburgh is 1-2, so that's good. I don't know how bad Baltimore played against teams we didn't play.
1 thing seems certain, though. If the Steelers beat the Ravens in the rematch, then the Steelers win the division, no matter what else happens. Do I have that right? The worst we could do in that scenario is a tie for the division, and the Steelers would have the 2-0 sweep in the 1st tiebreaker.
The head-to-head would be split, so on to division record. If the Steelers lost to Cleveland and Baltimore, then the ravens would win that tiebreaker with a 4-2 division record vs 3-3 for Pittsburgh. But if the Steelers beat the browns and lose to the Ravens, that leaves both teams at 4-2 in the division.
Then it's common games. I haven't dug into that data yet. Since there are so many common opponents, it's easier to look at the games against uncommon opponents, and whoever did WORSE is the champion. I think each team will have played 3 games against opponents their division rival didn't play. Against the Seahawks, Chargers, and Colts, Pittsburgh is 1-2, so that's good. I don't know how bad Baltimore played against teams we didn't play.
1 thing seems certain, though. If the Steelers beat the Ravens in the rematch, then the Steelers win the division, no matter what else happens. Do I have that right? The worst we could do in that scenario is a tie for the division, and the Steelers would have the 2-0 sweep in the 1st tiebreaker.